Estimated transmissibility and severity of novel SARS-CoV-2 variant of Concern 202012/01 in England

A novel SARS-CoV-2 variant, VOC 202012/01, emerged in southeast England in November 2020 and appears to be rapidly spreading towards fixation. we fitted a two-strain mathematical model of SARS-CoV-2 transmission to be observed COVID-19 hospital admissions, hospital ICU bed occupancy, and deaths; SARS-CoV-2 prevalence and seroprevalence; and the relative frequency of VOC 202012/01 in three most heavily affected NHS England regions (Southeast, East of England and London).

Estimated transmissibility and severity of novel SARS-CoV-2 variant of Concern 202012/01 in England
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